Prediction markets

Trade on what happens next

Prices are the crowd's odds. Buy shares in an outcome, sell any time while trading is open, and every winning share pays 1 PAT.

9live markets 2,670,500PAT traded in live markets 5settled recently

Start a market How it works Wagers & pools

Live markets 9

M65 waiting for the judge AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Will BRENT crude oil price hit $110 USD in the next 48 hours?

Yes 29% · 0.29 PAT/share

No 71% · 0.71 PAT/share

Opened Sun, Oct 11, 1:06 PM UTC · Closed Tue, Oct 13, 1:06 PM UTC

Volume 106,000 PAT · 2 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M69 waiting for the judge AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Will Bitcoin fall to $80,000 USD in the next 24 hours?

Yes 69% · 0.69 PAT/share

No 31% · 0.31 PAT/share

Opened Mon, Oct 12, 2:55 PM UTC · Closed Tue, Oct 13, 2:55 PM UTC

Volume 31,000 PAT · 2 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M74 waiting for the judge AI judge auto · Sports DRAMA_CENTRAL

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers — who wins? (Tue Oct 13, 7:15 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Lightning 0% · 0

New York Rangers 100% · 100,000 · pays 1.00x

Opened Mon, Oct 12, 7:39 PM UTC · Closed Tue, Oct 13, 10:59 PM UTC

Pool 100,000 PAT · 1 bettor · judge 🤖 Pepe

M78 open AI judge Site-wide

Will Bitcoin jump back to $82,000 USD in the next 24 hours?

Yes 19% · 0.19 PAT/share

No 81% · 0.81 PAT/share

Opened Wed, Oct 14, 4:24 PM UTC · Closes Thu, Oct 15, 4:24 PM UTC (in 9h 26m)

Volume 50,000 PAT · 1 holder · judge 🤖 Pepe closes in 9h 26m

M10 open AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Will Sociopath return to Camfrog by 10/31/2026?

yes 13% · 0.13 PAT/share

no 87% · 0.87 PAT/share

Opened Sun, Oct 4, 7:12 PM UTC · Closes Sun, Nov 1, 7:12 PM UTC (in 17d 12h)

Volume 2,182,000 PAT · 4 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe closes in 17d 12h

M12 open AI judge Houseplants

Will Bolsonaro Jr. win the run-off election?

yes 93% · 0.93 PAT/share

no 7% · 0.07 PAT/share

Opened Sun, Oct 4, 11:20 PM UTC · Closes Tue, Nov 3, 11:20 PM UTC (in 19d 16h)

Volume 100,000 PAT · 1 holder · judge 🤖 Pepe closes in 19d 16h

M15 open AI judge Pepe's Pad

Will the Federal Reserve hold or raise interest rates in October?

Hold 21% · 0.21 PAT/share

Raise 79% · 0.79 PAT/share

Opened Mon, Oct 5, 9:05 AM UTC · Closes Wed, Nov 4, 9:05 AM UTC (in 20d 2h)

Volume 61,500 PAT · 4 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe closes in 20d 2h

M43 open DRAMA_CENTRAL

will tricons next pokemon box have a hit over 100

yes 28% · 0.28 PAT/share

no 72% · 0.72 PAT/share

Opened Thu, Oct 8, 4:31 AM UTC · Closes Sat, Nov 7, 4:31 AM UTC (in 22d 21h)

Volume 30,000 PAT · 2 holders · judge tricon closes in 22d 21h

M73 open AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republicans 50% · 0.50 PAT/share

Democrats 50% · 0.50 PAT/share

Opened Mon, Oct 12, 5:56 PM UTC · Closes Wed, Nov 11, 5:56 PM UTC (in 27d 10h)

Volume 10,000 PAT · 1 holder · judge 🤖 Pepe closes in 27d 10h

Recently settled

M17 settled: Bills AI judge Houseplants

Monday Night Football October 5th: Buffalo Bills vs LA Rams

Bills 100% · paid 1 PAT/share · last 25%

Rams 0% · worth 0 · last 56%

Tie 0% · worth 0 · last 19%

Opened Mon, Oct 5, 3:55 PM UTC · Closed Tue, Oct 6, 3:55 PM UTC · Settled Tue, Oct 13, 3:05 PM UTC

Volume 30,000 PAT · 3 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M49 settled: Yes AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Will Bitcoin climb back to $83,000 USD in the next 24 hours?

Yes 100% · paid 1 PAT/share · last 100%

No 0% · worth 0 · last 0%

Opened Fri, Oct 9, 5:52 PM UTC · Closed Sat, Oct 10, 5:52 PM UTC · Pepe ruled Sat, Oct 10, 6:08 PM UTC · Settled Sat, Oct 10, 9:19 PM UTC

Volume 800,000 PAT · 3 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M46 settled: Yes AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Thursday Night Football: Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Dallas Cowboys tonight?

Yes 100% · paid 1 PAT/share · last 45%

No 0% · worth 0 · last 28%

Tie Game 0% · worth 0 · last 27%

Opened Thu, Oct 8, 9:40 PM UTC · Closed Fri, Oct 9, 9:40 PM UTC · Pepe ruled Fri, Oct 9, 9:41 PM UTC · Settled Fri, Oct 9, 10:41 PM UTC

Volume 10,500 PAT · 2 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M37 settled: yes AI judge DRAMA_CENTRAL

Will Bitcoin fall to $81,000 in the next 24 hours?

yes 100% · paid 1 PAT/share · last 4%

no 0% · worth 0 · last 96%

Opened Wed, Oct 7, 6:30 PM UTC · Closed Thu, Oct 8, 6:30 PM UTC · Pepe ruled Thu, Oct 8, 6:30 PM UTC · Settled Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM UTC

Volume 160,500 PAT · 4 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

M27 settled: No AI judge Houseplants

Will Bitcoin hit $87,000 today?

Yes 0% · worth 0 · last 18%

No 100% · paid 1 PAT/share · last 82%

Opened Mon, Oct 5, 10:13 PM UTC · Closed Tue, Oct 6, 10:13 PM UTC · Pepe ruled Wed, Oct 7, 4:53 AM UTC · Settled Wed, Oct 7, 5:54 AM UTC

Volume 2,512,980 PAT · 3 holders · judge 🤖 Pepe

Start a market

Sign in to start a market.Sign in

Looking for simple betting pools and 1-on-1 wagers? /wagers · How it all works: economy guide

Start one in chat: !market new Will X happen? judge @someone closes 2d · buy with !market M3 yes 5k · sell with !market sell M3 yes all · !market mine shows your positions